“The Conservatives are going to have to defeat the historical record to come back from where they are,” he told the BBC. The Conservatives pointed to the low turnout - less than 40% of eligible voters cast ballots - as a sign British electors are not enthusiastic about Labour.īut University of Strathclyde polling expert John Curtice said the results confirmed that the Conservatives are in “very, very considerable electoral trouble.” Those promises remain largely unmet, and Britain’s economic growth has come to a virtual standstill, with the country slipping into recession at the end of 2023 for the first time since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic. Northam was propelled by liberal and moderate voters who were eager to send a message to President Trump in a state that rejected him in 2016 and where he is deeply unpopular. Polls show the Conservatives are losing support across the country, from affluent southern voters turned off by Brexit to working-class northern voters who switched from Labour for the 2019 election, when then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson promised to spread prosperity to long-neglected areas. The Conservatives have been in power nationally since 2010, years that saw austerity following the world banking crisis, Britain’s divisive decision to leave the European Union, a global pandemic and a European war that triggered the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades. Sunak, the fifth Conservative leader since 2016, has restored a measure of stability, but failed to revive the governing party’s popularity. He replaced Liz Truss, who rocked the economy with a plan for unfunded tax cuts and lasted just seven weeks in office. That includes six defeats - and one win - since Sunak took office in October 2022. The Conservatives have now lost 10 byelections since the last general election, more than any administration since the 1960s. Long-serving Wellingborough legislator Peter Bone was ousted over allegations of bullying and sexual misconduct. Lawmaker Chris Skidmore quit the Kingswood seat last month to protest Sunak’s lack of commitment to green energy. Thursday’s elections replaced two lawmakers who left suddenly, one in protest, the other under a cloud. The Tories consistently lag between 10 and 20 points behind the left-of-center Labour in opinion polls. The results will likely worsen fears among Conservatives that, after 14 years in power, the party is heading for defeat when a national election is held in less than a year. Labour leader Keir Starmer said the results “show people want change.” The hard-right Reform party - formerly known as the Brexit Party _ came third, putting more pressure on the Conservatives.
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